Saturday, September 23, 2023

Sep 23, 2023 - The Animals Are Talking. What Does It Mean?

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TradeBriefs Editorial

From the Editor's Desk

How to Choose the Right Forecasting Technique

To handle the increasing variety and complexity of managerial forecasting problems, many forecasting techniques have been developed in recent years. Each has its special use, and care must be taken to select the correct technique for a particular application. The manager as well as the forecaster has a role to play in technique selection; and the better they understand the range of forecasting possibilities, the more likely it is that a company’s forecasting efforts will bear fruit.

The selection of a method depends on many factors—the context of the forecast, the relevance and availability of historical data, the degree of accuracy desirable, the time period to be forecast, the cost/benefit (or value) of the forecast to the company, and the time available for making the analysis.

Continued here


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The Animals Are Talking. What Does It Mean?    
The Animals Are Talking. What Does It Mean?
Sonia Shah is a science journalist and the author, most recently, of “The Next Great Migration: The Beauty and Terror of Life on the Move.” She is currently writing a book on the history and science of human exceptionalism. Denise Nestor is an artist and illustrator in Dublin. She is known for her finely detailed hand-drawn art, often inspired by nature.


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Investors pulled $19 billion from stocks in the last week, the highest outflow all year amid surging bond yields and Fed jitters    
Investors pulled $19 billion from stocks in the last week, the highest outflow all year amid surging bond yields and Fed jitters
Though the bank no longer sees a recession as its base case this year, signs that the economy is headed for a hard landing are \"lining up\" for 2024, Hartnett said. The 2-10 Treasury yield curve, the bond market\'s notorious recession signal, steepened another 110 basis-points over the past week. Meanwhile, unemployment inched higher to 3.8%, while the personal savings rate rose between 4%-5%, Bank of America data shows.






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Florida Woman Who Stole Diary of President’s Daughter Faces Sentencing    
Florida Woman Who Stole Diary of President’s Daughter Faces Sentencing
Adam Goldman reports on the F.B.I. and national security from Washington, D.C., and is a two-time Pulitzer Prize winner. He is the coauthor of “Enemies Within: Inside the NYPD\'s Secret Spying Unit and bin Laden\'s Final Plot Against America.”  More about Adam Goldman


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How Rupert Murdoch Outfoxed American Media    
How Rupert Murdoch Outfoxed American Media
And may well still be—for now. In his farewell letter to his staff, Murdoch showed no signs that his fire or drive have diminished: “In my new role, I can guarantee you that I will be involved every day in the contest of ideas. Our companies are communities, and I will be an active member of our community,” he wrote. “I will be watching our broadcasts with a critical eye, reading our newspapers and websites and books with much interest, and reaching out to you with thoughts, ideas, and advice. When I visit your countries and companies, you can expect to see me in the office late on a Friday afternoon.”




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Lachlan Murdoch 'doubling down' on right-wing strategy with Tony Abbott's nomination to Fox board, say critics    
Lachlan Murdoch 'doubling down' on right-wing strategy with Tony Abbott's nomination to Fox board, say critics
Turnbull lashed the 92-year-old media mogul's "shocking" legacy, saying he had created an "anger-tainment ecosystem" and left America the most divided it's been since the Civil War.


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Only 22% of Britons trust Sunak on climate, finds Guardian poll    
Only 22% of Britons trust Sunak on climate, finds Guardian poll
“This endless flip-flopping on such vital issues will not only leave people with higher bills and a damaged economy, but it could badly backfire against Sunak’s party at the next election unless the government changes tack.”




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Louisiana police accused of 'unconscionable' abuse in 'Brave Cave'    
Louisiana police accused of 'unconscionable' abuse in 'Brave Cave'
Sterling's family later received a $4.5m settlement from Baton Rouge's city government to conclude an episode presaging the worldwide protests against police brutality that were elicited by a Minneapolis officer's murder of George Floyd in 2020.


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Drought sparks drinking water concerns as saltwater creeps up Mississippi River    
Drought sparks drinking water concerns as saltwater creeps up Mississippi River
Sea level rise will make the conditions that allow saltwater intrusion into the Mississippi River more likely in the future, said Soni Pradhanang, an associate professor of hydrology and water quality at the University of Rhode Island. Climate change is also expected to exacerbate droughts by making them longer and more frequent. “We’re only going to see this happening more,” she said. “Sea level rise will lead to increased salinity as more of this seawater pushes up into the estuaries and inland.”




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FBI launches inquiry into alleged abuse by police at Baton Rouge warehouse    
FBI launches inquiry into alleged abuse by police at Baton Rouge warehouse
According to a lawsuit filed last month, he repeatedly turned off and muted his body camera during his interactions with Jeremy Lee, the suspect who ended up hospitalized with broken bones and other injuries. Inside the warehouse, officers punched and kicked him while he screamed for help, the lawsuit alleges. After he was violently interrogated and arrested, the only criminal charge prosecutors pursued against Lee was resisting arrest.


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'It will save lives': Biden and Harris launch federal gun control prevention office    
'It will save lives': Biden and Harris launch federal gun control prevention office
"The brutal truth is that when the most people are paying attention to our movement, it's usually coupled with carnage and death, but not today," he said. "Today the country sees us at the White House with a president who's taking action."




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Tropical Storm Ophelia threatens wind, rain and storm surge for US mid-Atlantic    
Tropical Storm Ophelia threatens wind, rain and storm surge for US mid-Atlantic
Meanwhile, Hurricane Nigel was downgraded to a post-tropical cyclone centered about 640 miles north-west of the Azores with maximum sustained winds of 70mph. There were no associated coastal watches or warnings as the storm moved north-east at 37mph, the NHC said in its final update on the system on Friday morning.


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Disney Stock Climb 50%, J.P. Morgan Says    
Disney Stock Climb 50%, J.P. Morgan Says
This copy is for your personal, non-commercial use only. Distribution and use of this material are governed by our Subscriber Agreement and by copyright law. For non-personal use or to order multiple copies, please contact Dow Jones Reprints at 1-800-843-0008 or visit www.djreprints.com.




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The Stock Market’s Drop Was the Worst Since March. Is It September or Something More Sinister?    
The Stock Market’s Drop Was the Worst Since March. Is It September or Something More Sinister?
This copy is for your personal, non-commercial use only. Distribution and use of this material are governed by our Subscriber Agreement and by copyright law. For non-personal use or to order multiple copies, please contact Dow Jones Reprints at 1-800-843-0008 or visit www.djreprints.com.


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Analysts: Healthcare REITs Show A Dichotomy Of Performance    
Analysts: Healthcare REITs Show A Dichotomy Of Performance
Weekly REIT Report: REITs are one of the most misunderstood investment options, making it difficult for investors to spot incredible opportunities until it\'s too late. Benzinga\'s in-house real estate research team has been working hard to identify the greatest opportunities in today\'s market, which you can gain access to for free by signing up for the Weekly REIT Report.




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Legendary investor Jeremy Grantham calls Elon Musk a 'wonderful propagandist' and warns home prices will fall 30%. Here are the best 10 quotes from a new interview.    
Legendary investor Jeremy Grantham calls Elon Musk a 'wonderful propagandist' and warns home prices will fall 30%. Here are the best 10 quotes from a new interview.
\"Japan real estate is the mother and father of all bubbles, much bigger than their stock market which is the mother and father of all stock bubbles. Their real estate was over 10 times downtown Manhattan. Downtown Manhattan was very high price, downtown Tokyo was over 10 times. That\'s the biggest bubble I think in history, including the South Sea bubble.\"


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Transfer Talk: Juventus not yet convinced on USMNT's Weston McKennie to renew contract    
Transfer Talk: Juventus not yet convinced on USMNT's Weston McKennie to renew contract
- Liverpool have reached an agreement with Trent Alexander-Arnold regarding a new contract for the right-back, according to Football Insider. The 24-year-old has two years remaining on his current deal, and while clubs across England and Europe want to persuade him to leave Anfield, Alexander-Arnold is committed to the Reds and wants to stay.


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El último capítulo de Jimmy Carter: helado de mantequilla de maní y cumplir 99 años    
El último capítulo de Jimmy Carter: helado de mantequilla de maní y cumplir 99 años
Peter Baker es el corresponsal jefe del Times en la Casa Blanca y se encarga de cubrir al presidente Joe Biden y su gobierno. Ha cubierto a los últimos cinco presidentes estadounidenses y a veces escribe artículos analíticos sobre la continua participación del expresidente Donald Trump en la vida pública, situándolo en un contexto y un marco histórico más amplio. Más de Peter Baker


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Biden Creates Federal Office of Gun Violence Prevention    
Biden Creates Federal Office of Gun Violence Prevention
An earlier version of this article misstated the overall number of gun violence deaths in 2022 as tallied by the Gun Violence Archive. There were 44,384, not 20,200, and gun violence deaths so far this year are below that number, not above it.


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With House Hurtling Toward a Shutdown, Gaetz Is Leading the Resistance    
With House Hurtling Toward a Shutdown, Gaetz Is Leading the Resistance
Annie Karni is a congressional correspondent. She was previously a White House correspondent. Before joining The Times, she covered the White House and Hillary Clinton\'s 2016 presidential campaign for Politico, and spent a decade covering local politics for the New York Post and the New York Daily News. More about Annie Karni


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Mother Who Gave Abortion Pills to Teen Daughter Gets 2 Years in Prison    
Mother Who Gave Abortion Pills to Teen Daughter Gets 2 Years in Prison
Meta, the parent company of Facebook, complied with the warrant. The detective found evidence of a medically induced abortion, according to court documents, allowing the authorities to file additional charges.


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Menendez Indictment Appears to Undercut Claims of ‘Two-Tiered System’ of Justice    
Menendez Indictment Appears to Undercut Claims of ‘Two-Tiered System’ of Justice
Glenn Thrush covers the Department of Justice. He joined The Times in 2017 after working for Politico, Newsday, Bloomberg News, The New York Daily News, The Birmingham Post-Herald and City Limits. More about Glenn Thrush


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NFL 2023 Week 3 Odds, Picks And Pro Football Betting Insight    
NFL 2023 Week 3 Odds, Picks And Pro Football Betting Insight
For additional NFL picks and insight, follow FanDuel’s NFL Week 3 betting guide along with all the NFL teams, news and odds as Week 3 provides more exciting and engaging watch and wager action.


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This Napa Valley Winery Stays True To Its Garage-Band Roots    
This Napa Valley Winery Stays True To Its Garage-Band Roots
“The first album comes from a place of honesty and authenticity,” he adds. “It would be very easy to just farm out a bunch of concepts and labels, and we’ve had some really nice presentations from (marketing) firms, but it doesn’t feel like it was made in a garage. We never want to lose that passion and gravitas - we want to keep our garage mentality by staying in the garage.”


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Enjoy A Free Fall In Louisville: No-Admission Art Fairs, Festivals And Museums    
Enjoy A Free Fall In Louisville: No-Admission Art Fairs, Festivals And Museums
\"Powell is a beloved figure, known as much for his richly colored sculpture as for his inspirational teaching,” Susie Silbert, former curator of Contemporary Glass at The Corning Museum of Glass—the world’s preeminent glass museum, said. “Through his work at Centre College and the atmosphere of possibility he cultivated there, he made Danville, Kentucky, a beating heart of contemporary glass known across the nation for quality, integrity, and the excellence of its graduates. GLASS will allow people to enjoy Powell’s incredible art and build on the work he started to ensure Danville is a must-visit destination for people interested in glass, in art, and in learning.”


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HS2: Johnson warns against 'mutilated' version of rail link    
HS2: Johnson warns against 'mutilated' version of rail link
Party leader Sir Keir Starmer insists he still supports the project and blames the government for introducing the \"uncertainty\" over its future as ministers consider the move to save billions.


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MPs call for energy bill help to stave off winter crisis    
MPs call for energy bill help to stave off winter crisis
\"Suppliers will continue to do all they can to support customers struggling with bills but in the middle of a wider cost-of-living and affordability crisis, they alone cannot provide all the help people need,\" the spokesperson said.


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Inflation falls - but things could get worse for many households    
Inflation falls - but things could get worse for many households
With so many likely to see their budgets remaining under pressure, consumer spending - the core part of our economy - could take a knock. Many economists are concerned about the prospects for growth.


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Net zero: Will Rishi Sunak's changes to climate policies save money?    
Net zero: Will Rishi Sunak's changes to climate policies save money?
Chris Stark, the chief executive the UK\'s Climate Change Committee (CCC), said that such huge subsidies are \"very tricky\" in the short term - using the public purse to drive change can hit ordinary pockets.


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Progress in Hollywood Writers’ Strike Negotiations, but No Deal Yet    
Progress in Hollywood Writers’ Strike Negotiations, but No Deal Yet
“Thank you for the wonderful show of support on the picket lines today!” the guild’s negotiating committee said in an email to members late Friday. “It means so much to us as we continue to work toward a deal that writers deserve.”


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How a Storied National Airline Became Reviled in Its Own Country    
How a Storied National Airline Became Reviled in Its Own Country
The relationship between Qantas and figures in government has also been criticized as too cozy. Recently, there was outrage in the domestic news media about the 23-year-old son of Prime Minister Anthony Albanese getting access to a Qantas members-only lounge that is typically reserved for celebrities, business executives and top politicians.


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Adults Are Panicked About Teens and Social Media. These Girls Have Advice.    
Adults Are Panicked About Teens and Social Media. These Girls Have Advice.
“When your parents come and are berating you for using your phone, or giving you rules they don’t abide by themselves, it makes following the rules a lot harder,” Janine, from Queens, said. “Because it’s like, well, why should I follow it if you’re not even trying a little bit?”


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Menendez Accused of Brazen Bribery Plot, Taking Cash and Gold    
Menendez Accused of Brazen Bribery Plot, Taking Cash and Gold
William K. Rashbaum is a senior writer on the Metro desk, where he covers political and municipal corruption, courts, terrorism and law enforcement. He was a part of the team awarded the 2009 Pulitzer Prize for Breaking News. More about William K. Rashbaum


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White House Preparing For Government Shutdown As House Republicans Lack A Viable Endgame For Funding    
White House Preparing For Government Shutdown As House Republicans Lack A Viable Endgame For Funding
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President Joe Biden To Join Striking Autoworkers On Picket Line In Michigan    
President Joe Biden To Join Striking Autoworkers On Picket Line In Michigan
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More Bodies Pulled From Rio Grande, Including 3-Year-Old, As Migrant Crossings Rise    
More Bodies Pulled From Rio Grande, Including 3-Year-Old, As Migrant Crossings Rise
By entering your email and clicking Sign Up, you\'re agreeing to let us send you customized marketing messages about us and our advertising partners. You are also agreeing to our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy.


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Democratic Sen. Robert Menendez Will Step Down As Foreign Relations Chairman    
Democratic Sen. Robert Menendez Will Step Down As Foreign Relations Chairman
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We Asked Men About Their ‘Mommy Issues.’ Here’s What They Said.    
We Asked Men About Their ‘Mommy Issues.’ Here’s What They Said.
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6 critical things to know about the autoworkers strike that threatens to reshape the economy, politics, and labor's future    
6 critical things to know about the autoworkers strike that threatens to reshape the economy, politics, and labor's future
© 2023 Fortune Media IP Limited. All Rights Reserved. Use of this site constitutes acceptance of our Terms of Use and Privacy Policy | CA Notice at Collection and Privacy Notice | Do Not Sell/Share My Personal Information | Ad Choices FORTUNE is a trademark of Fortune Media IP Limited, registered in the U.S. and other countries. FORTUNE may receive compensation for some links to products and services on this website. Offers may be subject to change without notice.S&P Index data is the property of Chicago Mercantile Exchange Inc. and its licensors. All rights reserved. Terms & Conditions. Powered and implemented by Interactive Data Managed Solutions.


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'I felt betrayed': Health influencers are gaining notoriety for lies and lawsuits over deceptive marketing and claims that are too good to be true    
'I felt betrayed': Health influencers are gaining notoriety for lies and lawsuits over deceptive marketing and claims that are too good to be true
© 2023 Fortune Media IP Limited. All Rights Reserved. Use of this site constitutes acceptance of our Terms of Use and Privacy Policy | CA Notice at Collection and Privacy Notice | Do Not Sell/Share My Personal Information | Ad Choices FORTUNE is a trademark of Fortune Media IP Limited, registered in the U.S. and other countries. FORTUNE may receive compensation for some links to products and services on this website. Offers may be subject to change without notice.S&P Index data is the property of Chicago Mercantile Exchange Inc. and its licensors. All rights reserved. Terms & Conditions. Powered and implemented by Interactive Data Managed Solutions.


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Make your business pay you back. This credit card offers 1.5% cash back on all your biz purchases.    
Make your business pay you back. This credit card offers 1.5% cash back on all your biz purchases.
© 2023 Fortune Media IP Limited. All Rights Reserved. Use of this site constitutes acceptance of our Terms of Use and Privacy Policy | CA Notice at Collection and Privacy Notice | Do Not Sell/Share My Personal Information | Ad Choices FORTUNE is a trademark of Fortune Media IP Limited, registered in the U.S. and other countries. FORTUNE may receive compensation for some links to products and services on this website. Offers may be subject to change without notice.S&P Index data is the property of Chicago Mercantile Exchange Inc. and its licensors. All rights reserved. Terms & Conditions. Powered and implemented by Interactive Data Managed Solutions.


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Benjamin Netanyahu fears AI could ‘cannibalize’ more jobs than it creates. ‘This is like having nuclear technology in the Stone Age’    
Benjamin Netanyahu fears AI could ‘cannibalize’ more jobs than it creates. ‘This is like having nuclear technology in the Stone Age’
© 2023 Fortune Media IP Limited. All Rights Reserved. Use of this site constitutes acceptance of our Terms of Use and Privacy Policy | CA Notice at Collection and Privacy Notice | Do Not Sell/Share My Personal Information | Ad Choices FORTUNE is a trademark of Fortune Media IP Limited, registered in the U.S. and other countries. FORTUNE may receive compensation for some links to products and services on this website. Offers may be subject to change without notice.S&P Index data is the property of Chicago Mercantile Exchange Inc. and its licensors. All rights reserved. Terms & Conditions. Powered and implemented by Interactive Data Managed Solutions.


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Smorgasbord of conspiracy theories join forces at Sydney's unofficial no rally - as it happened    
Smorgasbord of conspiracy theories join forces at Sydney's unofficial no rally - as it happened
In case you missed it, earlier today we brought you news that Peter Dutton had advised anti-voice campaigners to avoid the rallies, which are being led by Simeon Boikov, an online commentator who posts anti-vaccine and pro-Putin content.


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Australian students shun education degrees as fears grow over 'unprecedented' teacher shortage    
Australian students shun education degrees as fears grow over 'unprecedented' teacher shortage
Former teacher and head of tutoring company Clever Cookie Academy, Peita Mages, said her top students were "not looking to teaching" after experiencing the workforce shortages first-hand.


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Russia-Ukraine war live: strike on Russian Black Sea fleet HQ killed nine and injured senior officers, Ukraine claims    
Russia-Ukraine war live: strike on Russian Black Sea fleet HQ killed nine and injured senior officers, Ukraine claims
The Russian deputy prime minister, Alexander Novak, held a meeting with Russian oil company managers on Friday to discuss the domestic fuel market, the government said. Russia temporarily banned exports of petroleum and diesel to all countries outside a circle of four ex-Soviet states with immediate effect, the government said on Thursday, without a specified end date.




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